Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.629205 0.785057 0.951688 1.141255 1.349239 1.568979 1.817241
2025-03-02 0.367825 0.568533 0.804840 1.094313 1.431473 1.805232 2.244883
2025-03-09 0.223974 0.428377 0.691030 1.032131 1.446708 1.921052 2.493079
2025-03-16 0.137692 0.336780 0.617156 1.001432 1.485667 2.053889 2.752294
2025-03-23 0.094198 0.291994 0.593694 1.024835 1.582508 2.248429 3.077397
2025-03-30 0.058303 0.245788 0.559490 1.027625 1.648801 2.402834 3.352503
2025-04-06 0.029590 0.197160 0.512560 1.006542 1.679787 2.510692 3.569277
2025-04-13 0.019207 0.183319 0.517241 1.055338 1.799761 2.726820 3.915164
2025-04-20 0.011729 0.171356 0.522606 1.103625 1.918152 2.940482 4.257851
2025-04-27 0.007024 0.163682 0.533776 1.159478 2.046103 3.165872 4.614787
2025-05-04 0.005519 0.168618 0.567697 1.249313 2.219913 3.449194 5.042770
2025-05-11 0.002726 0.161299 0.577463 1.302068 2.343297 3.668860 5.393090
2025-05-18 0.000220 0.140540 0.561304 1.318534 2.423193 3.841428 5.696362
2025-05-25 NaN 0.102171 0.501563 1.263522 2.403413 3.887075 5.844676
2025-06-01 NaN 0.068409 0.439353 1.197461 2.363181 3.902523 5.952069
2025-06-08 NaN 0.047780 0.399730 1.163914 2.365560 3.970497 6.122404
2025-06-15 NaN 0.040572 0.394977 1.189340 2.452419 4.148771 6.430924
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030983 0.378477 1.192337 2.505625 4.282166 6.682613
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019940 0.349250 1.169515 2.519157 4.361958 6.865803
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018975 0.360584 1.222322 2.645657 4.592599 7.240778
2025-07-13 NaN 0.018020 0.371588 1.274495 2.771305 4.822278 7.614790
2025-07-20 NaN 0.017942 0.386765 1.334742 2.909286 5.068704 8.010423
2025-07-27 NaN 0.021621 0.420804 1.431443 3.102539 5.389560 8.501246